Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000161 0.000178 0.000195 0.000216
2025-11-16 0.000097 0.000114 0.000134 0.000158 0.000188 0.000223 0.000268
2025-11-23 0.000080 0.000100 0.000123 0.000154 0.000194 0.000245 0.000313
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000093 0.000120 0.000156 0.000207 0.000274 0.000370
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117 0.000159 0.000220 0.000304 0.000432
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000081 0.000111 0.000156 0.000223 0.000321 0.000476
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000074 0.000104 0.000151 0.000222 0.000330 0.000509
2025-12-28 0.000049 0.000070 0.000102 0.000151 0.000230 0.000353 0.000567
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000067 0.000100 0.000152 0.000239 0.000378 0.000630
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000064 0.000096 0.000150 0.000242 0.000394 0.000679
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000061 0.000094 0.000151 0.000249 0.000418 0.000745
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000149 0.000251 0.000433 0.000797
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000055 0.000089 0.000148 0.000257 0.000456 0.000869
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000052 0.000085 0.000146 0.000260 0.000473 0.000933
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000142 0.000259 0.000485 0.000987
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000048 0.000081 0.000144 0.000270 0.000519 0.001096
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000081 0.000147 0.000282 0.000558 0.001221
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000044 0.000078 0.000144 0.000282 0.000573 0.001292
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000139 0.000277 0.000575 0.001332
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000040 0.000073 0.000140 0.000284 0.000606 0.001449
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000039 0.000072 0.000141 0.000293 0.000639 0.001579
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000139 0.000294 0.000657 0.001670
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000139 0.000301 0.000689 0.001808